Africa Toward 2030: Challenges for Development Policy by E. Lundsgaarde

By E. Lundsgaarde

Combining stories of demography, weather switch, know-how and innovation, political improvement, new actors in foreign improvement, and international governance frameworks, this e-book highlights the foremost underlying determinants of swap within the African context and key uncertainties concerning the continent's destiny improvement clients.

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Additional resources for Africa Toward 2030: Challenges for Development Policy (Rethinking International Development series)

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Chapter 10 presents four generalised scenarios for Africa’s future that build on the analyses in the preceding chapters. This format allows for a presentation of varied trajectories that highlight key challenges facing African states and draw attention to alternative outcomes that are possible given a consideration of the range of uncertainties associated with the influence of key drivers of change. These storylines offer a basis for reflection on how European development actors in particular might lay a stronger foundation for their future engagement with African continental and regional organisations and African states.

Twenty years have passed since the end of the Cold War, which brought hope that the end of geopolitical competition between opposing ideological blocs would open the way to a more peaceful and democratic future for the African continent. Nearly ten years have passed since the NEPAD process reinvigorated a continental vision for economic and political development. The 2010 football World Cup offered a moment to showcase an image of the African continent that contrasted with its common representations in the global media, one where economic progress and celebration rather than political crisis and misery were put on display.

The objectives of scenario analysis may also be more indirect in terms of shaping the direction of organisational decision making. Rather than 22 Erik Lundsgaarde producing clear recommendations on how decision makers should reorient their thinking and adapt priorities, scenario development may have a more modest goal of influencing the way that decision makers approach the future and interpret the world around them. Advocates of scenario approaches have suggested that an increasing openness to exploring new ideas can be one result of the use of these techniques.

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